DESSTinEE

Latest revision as of 08:28, 28 April 2016

Demand for Energy Services, Supply and Transmission in Europe

Authors:
Iain Staffell, Richard Green

Contact:
Iain Staffell

The DESSTINEE model (Demand for Energy Services, Supply and Transmission in EuropE) a model of the European energy system in 2050, with a focus on the electricity system. The model is designed to test assumptions about the technical requirements for energy transport (particularly for electricity), and the scale of the economic challenge to develop the necessary infrastructure. Forty countries are considered in and around Europe, and 10 forms of primary and secondary energy. The model uses a predictive simulation technique, rather than solving a partial or general equilibrium. Data is therefore specified by the user (exogenously), and the model calculates a set of answers for the given set of assumptions.

The DESSTINEE model is available as a set of standalone Excel spreadsheets which perform three tasks: 1. Project annual energy demands at country-level forwards to 2050; 2. Synthesise hourly profiles for electricity demand in 2010 and 2050; 3. Simulate the least-cost generation and transmission of electricity around the continent.

Based on Excel / VBA. Using Excel / VBA for data processing.

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Model Scope

Model type and solution approach

Model class	Simulation
Sectors	All / Electricity
Technologies	Renewables, Conventional Generation
Decisions	dispatch
Regions	Europe, North Africa
Geographic Resolution	National
Time resolution	Hour
Network coverage	net transfer capacities

Model type	Simulation
	Annual projection: simple arithmetic Hourly load curve production: partial decomposition Electricty system dispatch: Merit order stack with transmission constraints
Variables	Thousands / millions"Thousands / millions" is not a number.
Computation time	Annual projection = seconds; Load curves = 2 minutes; Power dispatch = minutes to hours"minutes;Powerdispatch=minutestohours" is not declared as a valid unit of measurement for this property. minutes
Objective	Costs, welfare, carbon emissions, fuel mixes
Uncertainty modeling	Stochastic
Suited for many scenarios / monte-carlo	Yes

References

Scientific references

T. Bossmann and I. Staffell, 2016. The shape of future electricity demand: Exploring load curves in 2050s Germany and Britain. Energy, 90(20), 1317–1333.
https://dx.doi.org/http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.energy.2015.06.082

Example research questions

How much transmission will Europe need in 2050 How will electricity demand change in 2050 under different decarbonisation pathways

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@@ Line 1: / Line 1: @@
 {{Model
 |Full_Model_Name=Demand for Energy Services, Supply and Transmission in Europe
-|author_institution=Imperial College Business School
+|author_institution=Imperial College London
 |authors=Iain Staffell, Richard Green
 |contact_persons=Iain Staffell
@@ Line 33: / Line 33: @@
 Electricty system dispatch: Merit order stack with transmission constraints
 |math_objective=Costs, welfare, carbon emissions, fuel mixes
 |deterministic=Stochastic
 |is_suited_for_many_scenarios=Yes
 |number_of_variables=Thousands / millions
-|computation_time_minutes=Annual projection = seconds; load curves = 2 minutes; power dispatch = minutes to hours
+|computation_time_minutes=Annual projection = seconds; Load curves = 2 minutes; Power dispatch = minutes to hours
+|citation_references=T. Bossmann and I. Staffell, 2016.  The shape of future electricity demand: Exploring load curves in 2050s Germany and Britain.  Energy, 90(20), 1317–1333.
+|citation_doi=http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.energy.2015.06.082
 |example_research_questions=How much transmission will Europe need in 2050
 How will electricity demand change in 2050 under different decarbonisation pathways
 }}

Author institution	Imperial College London +
Authors	Iain Staffell, Richard Green +
Citation doi	http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.energy.2015.06.082 +
Citation references	T. Bossmann and I. Staffell, 2016. The shape of future electricity demand: Exploring load curves in 2050s Germany and Britain. Energy, 90(20), 1317–1333.
Computation time minutes
Contact email	i.staffell@imperial.ac.uk +
Contact persons	Iain Staffell +
Data availability	all +
Decisions	dispatch +
Deterministic	Stochastic +
Example research questions	How much transmission will Europe need in 2050 How will electricity demand change in 2050 under different decarbonisation pathways
Full Model Name	Demand for Energy Services, Supply and Transmission in Europe +
Georegions	Europe, North Africa +
Georesolution	National +
Is suited for many scenarios	true +
License	Creative Commons Attribution Share-Alike 3.0 (CC-BY-SA-3.0) +
Math modeltype	Simulation +
Math modeltype shortdesc	Annual projection: simple arithmetic Hourly load curve production: partial decomposition Electricty system dispatch: Merit order stack with transmission constraints +
Math objective	Costs, welfare, carbon emissions, fuel mixes +
Model class	Simulation +
Model source public	true +
Modelling software	Excel / VBA +
Network coverage	net transfer capacities +
Number of variables
Open future	true +
Open source licensed	true +
Processing software	Excel / VBA +
Sectors	All / Electricity +
Source download	http://tinyurl.com/desstinee +
Technologies	Renewables + and Conventional Generation +
Text description	The DESSTINEE model (Demand for Energy Ser … The DESSTINEE model (Demand for Energy Services, Supply and Transmission in EuropE) a model of the European energy system in 2050, with a focus on the electricity system. The model is designed to test assumptions about the technical requirements for energy transport (particularly for electricity), and the scale of the economic challenge to develop the necessary infrastructure. Forty countries are considered in and around Europe, and 10 forms of primary and secondary energy. The model uses a predictive simulation technique, rather than solving a partial or general equilibrium. Data is therefore specified by the user (exogenously), and the model calculates a set of answers for the given set of assumptions. The DESSTINEE model is available as a set of standalone Excel spreadsheets which perform three tasks: 1. Project annual energy demands at country-level forwards to 2050; 2. Synthesise hourly profiles for electricity demand in 2010 and 2050; 3. Simulate the least-cost generation and transmission of electricity around the continent.ssion of electricity around the continent.
Timeresolution	Hour +
Website	http://tinyurl.com/desstinee +

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DESSTinEE

Latest revision as of 08:28, 28 April 2016

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DESSTinEE

Latest revision as of 08:28, 28 April 2016

References

Scientific references

Example research questions